[1]黄炜楠,李雪,董胜.基于小波分析的山东寒潮强弱变化特征研究[J].自然灾害学报,2017,(03):056-62.[doi:10.13577/j.jnd.2017.0307]
 HUANG Weinan,LI Xue,DONG Sheng.Study on intensity change characteristics of cold wave in Shandong Province by wavelet analysis[J].,2017,(03):056-62.[doi:10.13577/j.jnd.2017.0307]
点击复制

基于小波分析的山东寒潮强弱变化特征研究
分享到:

《自然灾害学报》[ISSN:/CN:23-1324/X]

卷:
期数:
2017年03期
页码:
056-62
栏目:
出版日期:
2017-06-28

文章信息/Info

Title:
Study on intensity change characteristics of cold wave in Shandong Province by wavelet analysis
作者:
黄炜楠1 李雪2 董胜1
1. 中国海洋大学 工程学院, 山东 青岛 266100;
2. 扬州大学 水利与能源动力工程学院, 江苏 扬州 225127
Author(s):
HUANG Weinan1 LI Xue2 DONG Sheng1
1. College of Engineering, Ocean University of China, Qingdao 266100, China;
2. School of Hydraulic Energy and Power Engineering, Yangzhou University, Yangzhou 225127, China
关键词:
寒潮时空分布发展趋势经验正交函数小波分析
Keywords:
cold wavespatiotemporal distributiontrendempirical orthogonal function(EOF)wavelet analysis
分类号:
P425.5+4;X43
DOI:
10.13577/j.jnd.2017.0307
摘要:
利用山东省1979-2013年的日最低气温数据,采用经验正交函数分解和Morlet小波分析方法,分析了山东省寒潮、强寒潮和特强寒潮的时空分布特征,对寒潮发展趋势进行了预测。结果表明:山东省寒潮频次分布主要表现为东西部地区的差异,存在4 a的变化周期;强寒潮主要表现为东西部地区间、中部地区与东西部地区间及南北部地区间的差异,分别存在12 a,8 a和14 a的变化周期;特强寒潮主要表现为东西部地区间、中部地区和东西部地区间及南北部地区间的差异,分别存在9 a、15 a和14 a的变化周期。
Abstract:
Based on the daily minimum temperature data during 1979-2013, the spatiotemporal distribution characteristics of cold wave, strong cold wave and ultra-strong cold wave in Shandong Province were analyzed with empirical orthogonal function (EOF) resolution and Morlet wavelet analysis method. The results show that, the cold wave frequency distribution in Shandong Province shows a difference between the east and the west, with a 4-year variation period; strong cold wave shows the difference of the east versus the west, the center versus the west and east, the south versus the north, with a variation period of 12 years,8 years and 14 years respectively; ultra-strong cold wave shows the difference of the east versus the west, the center versus the west and east, the south versus the north, with a variation period of 9 years, 15 years and 14 years respectively.

参考文献/References:

[1] 陶诗言. 阻塞形势破坏时期的东亚一次寒潮过程[J]. 气象学报, 1957, 28(1):63-74. TAO Shiyan. A synoptic and aerological study on a cold wave in the far east during the period of the break down of the blocking situation over Euroasia and Atlantic[J]. Acta Meteorologica Sinica, 1957, 28(1):63-74. (in Chinese)
[2] Zhao Q, Ding Y H. Study of physical processes affecting the transformation of cold air over land after outbreak of cold waves in east asia[J]. Acta Meteorologica Sinica, 1992, 6(2):198-212.
[3] 黄大文. 广东寒潮的分析和预报[J]. 广东气象, 1995, (4):2-6. HUANG Dawen. The analysis and forecast of cold wave in guangdong[J]. Guangdong Meteorology, 1995(4):2-6. (in Chinese)
[4] 王春林, 刘锦銮, 曾侠, 等. 近50年来广东冬季寒害的特征[J]. 自然灾害学报, 2004, 13(4):121-127. WANG Chunlin, LIU Jinluan, ZENG Xia, et al. Characteristics of recent 50 year’s cold damage in winter in guangdong[J]. Journal of Natural Disasters, 2004, 13(4):121-127. (in Chinese)
[5] 王遵娅, 丁一汇. 近53年中国寒潮的变化特征及其可能原因[J]. 大气科学, 2006, 30(6):1068-1076. WANG Zunya, DING Yihui. Climate change of the cold wave frequency of China in the last 53 years and the possible reasons[J]. Chinese Journal of Atmospheric Sciences, 2006, 30(6):1068-1076. (in Chinese)
[6] 魏凤英. 气候变暖背景下我国寒潮灾害的变化特征[J]. 自然科学进展, 2008, 18(3):289-295. WEI Fengying. The change characteristics of cold wave disaster in China under the background of global warming[J]. Progress in Natural Science, 2008, 18(3):289-295. (in Chinese)
[7] 王正旺, 赵桂香, 张瑞庭, 等. 山西东南部地区近40年寒潮气候特征分析[J]. 自然灾害学报, 2010, 19(6):55-60. WANG Zhengwang, ZHAO Guixiang, ZHANG Ruiting, et al. Characteristic analysis of cold wave weather in southeast area of shanxi province during last 40 years[J]. Journal of Natural Disasters, 2010, 19(6):55-60. (in Chinese)
[8] 徐虹, 张丽娟, 姜蓝齐. 黑龙江省公元612-2000年主要气象灾害时空规律研究[J]. 自然灾害学报, 2014, 23(3):107-118. XU Hong, ZHANG Lijuan, JANG Lanqi. Spatiotemporal distribution of main meteorological disasters in heilongjiang province during A.D.612-2000[J]. Journal of Natural Disasters, 2014, 23(3):107-118. (in Chinese)
[9] 陈豫英, 陈楠, 马金仁, 等. 近48a宁夏寒潮的变化特征及可能影响的成因初步分析[J]. 自然资源学报, 2010, 25(6):939-951. CHEN Yuying, CHEN Nan, MA Jinren, et al. Variety of ningxia cold waves in the last 48 years and its possible reasons[J]. Journal of Natural Resources, 2010, 25(6):939-951. (in Chinese)
[10] 段丽瑶, 刘爱霞, 于莉莉. 1961-2010年环渤海地区寒潮时空分布及变化特征[J]. 气象与环境学报, 2013, 29(4):54-58. DUAN Liyao, LIU Aixia, YU Lili. Temporal and spatial distribution of cold wave and its variation around the bohai sea region from 1961 to 2010[J]. Journal of Meteorology and Environment, 2013, 29(4):54-58. (in Chinese)
[11] Liu X F, Zhu X F, Pan Y Z, et al. Spatiotemporal changes of cold surges in inner mongoliar between 1960 and 2012[J]. Journal of Geographical Sciences, 2015, 25(3):259-273.
[12] GB/T 21987-2008中国气象局. 寒潮等级[S]. 北京:中国标准出版社, 2008. GB/T 21987-2008 China Meteorological Administration. Grades of Cold Wave[S]. Beijing:Standards Press of China, 2008. (in Chinese)
[13] Torrence C, Compo G P. A practical guide to wavelet analysis[J]. Bullet in of the American Meteorological Society, 1998(79):61-78.
[14] 徐小钰, 朱记伟, 解建仓, 等. 1951-2012年西安地区旱涝灾害演变特征及其与多事件的相关性研究[J]. 自然灾害学报, 2015, 24(6):64-71. XU Xiaoyu, ZHU Jiwei, XIE Jiancang, et al. Evolution characteristics of drought/flood disasters in Xi’an region from 1951 to 2012 and their correlation to related multiple events[J]. Journal of Natural Disasters, 2015, 24(6):64-71. (in Chinese)

相似文献/References:

[1]张红卫,陈怀亮,张弘.河南省春季降水与温度变化的时空分布——基于地理信息系统的分析[J].自然灾害学报,2012,(01):170.
 ZHANG Hongwei,CHEN Huailiang,ZHANG Hong.Spatiotemporal distribution of precipitation and temperature change in Henan Province in spring:an analysis based on GIS[J].,2012,(03):170.
[2]郑有飞,丁雪松,吴荣军,等.近50年江苏省夏季高温热浪的时空分布特征分析[J].自然灾害学报,2012,(02):043.
 ZHENG Youfei,DING Xuesong,WU Rongjun,et al.Temporal and spatial feature analyses of summer high temperature and heat wave in Jiangsu Province in past 50 years[J].,2012,(03):043.
[3]孙桂丽,陈亚宁,李卫红,等.新疆极端水文事件的时空分布特征[J].自然灾害学报,2012,(03):119.
 SUN Guili,CHEN Yaning,LI Weihong,et al.Spatiotemporal distribution characteristics of extreme hydrological events in Xinjiang[J].,2012,(03):119.
[4]郑腾飞,郭建茂,尹继福,等.基于DFA法的江苏省极端降水时空分布特征研究[J].自然灾害学报,2012,(04):076.
 ZHENG Tengfei,GUO Jianmao,YIN Jifu,et al.DFA-based research on spatiotemporal distribution of extreme precipitations in Jiangsu Province[J].,2012,(03):076.
[5]王宏,陈晓秋,余永江,等.福州近地层臭氧分布及其与气象要素的相关性[J].自然灾害学报,2012,(04):175.
 WANG Hong,CHEN Xiaoqiu,YU Yongjiang,et al.Distribution of ozone in land surface layer in Fuzhou and its relationship with meteorological factors[J].,2012,(03):175.
[6]李云强,马凤莲,周士茹,等.承德市近50年沙尘灾害时空分布特征及成因分析[J].自然灾害学报,2012,(05):144.
 LI Yunqiang,MA Fenglian,ZHOU Shiru,et al.Analysis of spatiotemporal distribution characteristics and formation causes of duststorm hazard in Chengde City in recent 50 years[J].,2012,(03):144.
[7]包云轩,覃文娜,高苹,等.江苏省近30年冰雹灾害的时空变化规律[J].自然灾害学报,2012,(05):197.
 BAO Yunxuan,QIN Wenna,GAO Ping,et al.Spatiotemporal change patterns of hail disaster in Jiangsu Province during recent 30 years[J].,2012,(03):197.
[8]吴孟恒,田艳婷,崔海华,等.2003-2008年河北省雷电灾害特征统计分析[J].自然灾害学报,2010,(01):021.
 WU Meng-heng,TIAN Yan-ting,CUI Hai-hua,et al.Statistical analysis of characteristics of lightning disaster in Hebei 2003 to 2008[J].,2010,(03):021.
[9]刘晓东,张其林,冯旭宇,等.内蒙古地区雷暴活动特征分析[J].自然灾害学报,2010,(02):119.
 LIU Xiao-dong,ZHANG Qi-lin,FENG Xu-yu,et al.Analysis of characteristics of thunderstorm activity in Inner Mongolia[J].,2010,(03):119.
[10]于怀昌,李亚丽,师邑,等.广西地质灾害特征及其形成机理——极端低温天气条件的影响[J].自然灾害学报,2011,(02):121.
 YU Huai-chang,LI Ya-Li,SHI Yi,et al.Characteristics and formation mechanism of geological disaster in Guangxi Province:influence of extreme low temperature weather condition[J].,2011,(03):121.
[11]王正旺,赵桂香,张瑞庭,等.山西东南部地区近40年寒潮气候特征分析[J].自然灾害学报,2010,(06):055.
 WANG Zheng-wang,ZHAO Gui-xiang,ZHANG Rui-ting,et al.Characteristic analysis of cold wave weather in southeast area of Shanxi Province during last 40 years[J].,2010,(03):055.

备注/Memo

备注/Memo:
收稿日期:2016-07-11;改回日期:2017-04-11。
基金项目:国家自然科学基金项目(51279186);国家重点研发计划(2016YFC0802301,2016YFC0303401)
作者简介:黄炜楠(1992-),男,博士研究生,主要从事海岸与海洋工程防灾减灾研究.E-mail:weinanhuang_ouc@163.com
通讯作者:董胜(1968-),男,教授,主要从事海洋工程环境及其与结构相互作用研究.E-mail:dongsh@ouc.edu.cn
更新日期/Last Update: 1900-01-01