[1]毕硕本,孙力,李兴宇,等.基于EEMD的1470-1911年黄河中下游地区旱涝灾害多时间尺度特征分析[J].自然灾害学报,2018,(01):137-147.[doi:10.13577/j.jnd.2018.0117]
 BI Shuoben,SUN Li,LI Xingyu,et al.Characteristics of drought and flood disasters in the middle and lower reaches of the Yellow River from 1470 to 1911 based on EEMD method[J].,2018,(01):137-147.[doi:10.13577/j.jnd.2018.0117]
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基于EEMD的1470-1911年黄河中下游地区旱涝灾害多时间尺度特征分析
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《自然灾害学报》[ISSN:/CN:23-1324/X]

卷:
期数:
2018年01期
页码:
137-147
栏目:
出版日期:
2018-02-28

文章信息/Info

Title:
Characteristics of drought and flood disasters in the middle and lower reaches of the Yellow River from 1470 to 1911 based on EEMD method
作者:
毕硕本 孙力 李兴宇 陈昌春 鲁颖
南京信息工程大学 地理与遥感学院, 江苏 南京 210044
Author(s):
BI Shuoben SUN Li LI Xingyu CHEN Changchun LU Ying
School of Geography and Remote Sensing, Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology, Nanjing 210044, China
关键词:
集合经验模态分解(EEMD)黄河中下游地区旱涝多时间尺度分析周期性
Keywords:
ensemple empirical mode decompositiom(EEMD)middle and lower reaches of the Yellow River regiondrought and floodmultiple time scalesseasonal
分类号:
P429;X43
DOI:
10.13577/j.jnd.2018.0117
摘要:
通过收集和整理1470—1911年黄河中下游地区旱涝灾害历史文献资料,重建442 a来的旱涝等级序列。分析了旱涝灾害发生的频次变化和突变特征,在此基础上采用集合经验模态分解(EEMD)方法对其进行多时间尺度分析,获得了不同时间尺度上具有较好平稳性特征的固有模态函数分量。利用EEMD方法,可以有效提取蕴藏在原始气候序列中的隐藏周期信号,发现黄河中下游地区旱涝灾害的多时间尺度变化特征。结果表明:旱涝变化相对比较平稳,全区气候总体偏旱。历史时期黄河中下游地区旱涝灾害存在准3 a、准5 a、准7 a的年际变化周期和准16 a、准25 a、准50 a的年代际变化周期,同时还存在一个平均周期为87.57 a的准世纪际周期。
Abstract:
Collecting and sorting the records of the drought and flood in the middle and lower reaches of the Yellow River region from 1470 to 1911, the sequence of drought and flood is reconstructed in the past 442 years. The frequency change and mutation characteristics of drought and flood disasters are analyzed. Using the current frontier of ensample empirical mode decomposition (EEMD) method for the multiple time scale analysis, the good stability characteristics of the intrinsic mode function components on different time scales are obtained. Using EEMD method can effectively extract the cycles of climate sequence contained in the original signal, then the multiple time scales change characteristics of drought and flood disasters are found in the middle and lower reaches of the Yellow River region. The results show that the drought and flood disasters exist quasi 3 a,5 a,7 a cycles on interannual and the 16 a,25 a,50 a quasi decadal change cycles, at the same time, there is an average period of 87.57 a in the cycle.

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备注/Memo

备注/Memo:
收稿日期:2017-02-08;改回日期:2017-03-20。
基金项目:国家自然科学基金(41271410,41071253)
作者简介:毕硕本(1965-),男,教授,博士,博士生导师,主要从事空间数据挖掘和三维可视化研究.E-mail:bishuoben@163.com
更新日期/Last Update: 1900-01-01